And that’s why you should only get them here.
Yes, Stats and Math DO Matter
An anonymous post claims statistical proof of election fraud in Colorado. All they prove is their own ignorance.
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But that doesn’t mean it’s without value
CPR attempts election analysis. …it goes poorly.
Colorado Public Radio’s laudable attempt to substantiate a false claim in their story opens the door for a primer on common electoral analysis mistakes. Such as not using data from the district in question, using levels instead of rates for comparison, cherry-picking data to fit a pre-set narrative, confusing candidate and district performance, failing to account for differences in district geography, and ignoring Occam’s Razor.
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Direct mail is effective… kinda…
Does Direct Mail Work?
In 2012, the Colorado Republican Party conducted a study on the effectiveness of political direct mail that was published in Political Research Quarterly and finally answered the question — is all this mail doing anything?
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What’s life without competition?
Colorado’s Legislative Candidate Leaderboard
Ranking Colorado’s best (and worst) Republican legislative candidates. Where every candidate this decade ranks across three objective measures of success.
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Is cash the cure-all?
Colorado’s 2018 Election Spending
Colorado Republicans faced an onslaught of Democrat cash in the 2018 election. But would having more money have saved us? Or are we just spending it wrong?
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What’d it cost us?
Same Day Voter Registration
Did same day voter registration impact the 2018 election results? We examined new voter registrations during the final month of the election to find out.
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All-Stars of the GOP
Colorado Republican’s Best Candidates
Ranking Colorado’s best (and worst) Republican candidates shows that it’s still possible for Republicans to win. But only if we study the right campaigns.
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Is it even possible for candidates to distance themselves from Trump?
Colorado’s Split Ticket
Colorado voters are traditionally free-thinking, moderate and prone to split tickets. Are they now following the national trend of increasing polarization? The evidence shows they are. But, it doesn’t mean candidates can’t break through.
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A Deep Dive Analysis of Who Voted in 2018
2018 Colorado Voter Turnout
A deep analysis of Colorado voter turnout in the 2018 midterm and what it means for Colorado’s political future as the state continues to drift to the left.
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Not like they should, anyway
No, young people don’t vote
Young voters still don’t turnout like they should. Contrary to claims recently covered by The Sun, voters under 46 are still underrepresented.
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Did Trump Voters Stay Home in 2018?
Turnout & The Trump Effect
There’s a claim circulating that Trump voters stayed home in 2018. We investigate the validity of this claim.
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Correcting a Westword analysis paints an even grimmer picture for Republicans.
Different Story, Same Ending
The latest round of post-election analysis included some sobering statistics for Colorado Republicans. But, it also included two of my biggest pet peeves and I just cannot stand to leave them unaddressed any longer so, before my usual ominous warning, we’re going to start with some points on psephology.
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For those desperate to blame someone
The Mathematics of Blame
In the wake of the disastrous defeat that Colorado Republicans suffered this year people are in a frenzy to lay the blame on someone. But, where should that blame actually fall?
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