Garbage In, Garbage Out
Dr. Frank’s Analysis is Wrong
Dr. Douglas Frank claims he’s uncovered statistical proof of voter fraud. But every one of the underlying data points he presents is wrong.
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And that’s why you should only get them here.
Yes, Stats and Math DO Matter
An anonymous post claims statistical proof of election fraud in Colorado. All they prove is their own ignorance.
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But that doesn’t mean it’s without value
CPR attempts election analysis. …it goes poorly.
Colorado Public Radio’s laudable attempt to substantiate a false claim in their story opens the door for a primer on common electoral analysis mistakes. Such as not using data from the district in question, using levels instead of rates for comparison, cherry-picking data to fit a pre-set narrative, confusing candidate and district performance, failing to account for differences in district geography, and ignoring Occam’s Razor.
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Beware these stats and those using them
Slippery Stats
We all know that data is very en vogue these days, and not just in political circles. Predictably, this has led to a proliferation of squishy math, soft stats, and outright errors. So let’s go through some of the most common political math fallacies so that you too can ridicule others for making these mistakes. Because we all know public ridicule is the most effective form of instruction.
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How CO Republicans Lose Before They Ever Start
The SD20 Fallacy
Every cycle legislative leadership spends well into the seven figures on our effort to capture or defend competitive legislative races. But our inability to understand which races are actually competitive has resulted in hundreds of thousands of dollars of waste each cycle and mounting losses over the decade.
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What’d it cost us?
Same Day Voter Registration
Did same day voter registration impact the 2018 election results? We examined new voter registrations during the final month of the election to find out.
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Not like they should, anyway
No, young people don’t vote
Young voters still don’t turnout like they should. Contrary to claims recently covered by The Sun, voters under 46 are still underrepresented.
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Did Trump Voters Stay Home in 2018?
Turnout & The Trump Effect
There’s a claim circulating that Trump voters stayed home in 2018. We investigate the validity of this claim.
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